Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.009557 0.011377 0.013599 0.016561 0.020487 0.025632 0.033104
2025-06-01 0.007001 0.008999 0.011727 0.015882 0.022359 0.032694 0.052005
2025-06-08 0.005923 0.008021 0.011121 0.016330 0.025577 0.043108 0.085211
2025-06-15 0.005080 0.007130 0.010330 0.016111 0.027462 0.052323 0.128059
2025-06-22 0.004340 0.006237 0.009312 0.015155 0.027497 0.057728 0.170828
2025-06-29 0.003940 0.005806 0.008952 0.015268 0.029765 0.070395 0.271290
2025-07-06 0.003685 0.005566 0.008864 0.015870 0.033446 0.090936 0.504728
2025-07-13 0.003539 0.005484 0.009039 0.017067 0.039342 0.127486 1.264260
2025-07-20 0.003345 0.005286 0.008952 0.017651 0.043932 0.167909 3.504149
2025-07-27 0.003127 0.005018 0.008679 0.017713 0.046981 0.208424 11.599132
2025-08-03 0.002944 0.004791 0.008455 0.017840 0.050436 0.263164 99.140407
2025-08-10 0.002725 0.004474 0.007994 0.017229 0.050778 0.296850 5679.945068
2025-08-17 0.002477 0.004097 0.007399 0.016237 0.049641 0.322578 NaN
2025-08-24 0.002279 0.003801 0.006950 0.015584 0.049800 0.370661 NaN
2025-08-31 0.002176 0.003684 0.006881 0.016021 0.055478 0.541975 NaN
2025-09-07 0.002046 0.003495 0.006621 0.015808 0.057879 0.698889 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001887 0.003237 0.006167 0.014876 0.055745 0.740017 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001803 0.003124 0.006042 0.014987 0.059903 1.060590 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001750 0.003071 0.006056 0.015573 0.067909 1.902238 NaN
2025-10-05 0.001726 0.003077 0.006215 0.016739 0.082081 5.182623 NaN
2025-10-12 0.001676 0.003022 0.006211 0.017308 0.093015 14.582982 NaN
2025-10-19 0.001610 0.002925 0.006084 0.017368 0.099826 41.554398 NaN
2025-10-26 0.001551 0.002840 0.005979 0.017492 0.107933 254.539924 NaN